MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Mariners @ Red Sox, 04/22/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 22, 2025
Mariners
3
Final
Game 778224
Red Sox
8
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Mariners
18%
· tied 9%
·
Red Sox
73%
Red Sox earned it
Red Sox deserved to win and did, beating Mariners 8–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.