MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Blue Jays @ Yankees, 04/25/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 25, 2025
Blue Jays
4
Final
Game 778185
Yankees
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Blue Jays
71%
· tied 12%
·
Yankees
18%
Blue Jays earned it
Blue Jays deserved to win and did, beating Yankees 4–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.