MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Cubs @ Brewers, 05/04/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 4, 2025
Cubs
0
Final
Game 778054
Brewers
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Cubs
12%
· tied 17%
·
Brewers
71%
Brewers earned it
Brewers deserved to win and did, beating Cubs 4–0.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.