MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Mets @ Red Sox, 05/20/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 20, 2025
Mets
0
Final
Game 777851
Red Sox
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Mets
28%
· tied 14%
·
Red Sox
58%
Red Sox earned it
Red Sox deserved to win and did, beating Mets 2–0.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.