MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Orioles @ Red Sox, 05/23/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 23, 2025
Orioles
5
Final
Game 777815
Red Sox
19
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Orioles
0%
· tied 1%
·
Red Sox
99%
Red Sox earned it
Red Sox deserved to win and did, beating Orioles 19–5.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.