MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Blue Jays @ Twins, 06/06/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jun 6, 2025
Blue Jays
6
Final
Game 777615
Twins
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Blue Jays
58%
· tied 15%
·
Twins
27%
Blue Jays earned it
Blue Jays deserved to win and did, beating Twins 6–4.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.