MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Reds @ Guardians, 06/11/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jun 11, 2025
Reds
2
Final
Game 777549
Guardians
11
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Reds
11%
· tied 11%
·
Guardians
77%
Guardians earned it
Guardians deserved to win and did, beating Reds 11–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.