MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Yankees @ Red Sox, 06/15/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jun 15, 2025
Yankees
0
Final
Game 777500
Red Sox
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Yankees
11%
· tied 15%
·
Red Sox
74%
Red Sox earned it
Red Sox deserved to win and did, beating Yankees 2–0.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.