MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Phillies @ Marlins, 06/17/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jun 17, 2025
Phillies
3
Final
Game 777481
Marlins
8
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Phillies
31%
· tied 12%
·
Marlins
57%
Marlins earned it
Marlins deserved to win and did, beating Phillies 8–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.