MLB Deserve-to-Win
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D-backs @ Blue Jays, 06/18/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jun 18, 2025
D-backs
1
Final
Game 777462
Blue Jays
8
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
D-backs
1%
· tied 1%
·
Blue Jays
98%
Blue Jays earned it
Blue Jays deserved to win and did, beating D-backs 8–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.