MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Brewers @ Cubs, 06/19/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jun 19, 2025
Brewers
8
Final
Game 777450
Cubs
7
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Brewers
65%
· tied 11%
·
Cubs
25%
Brewers earned it
Brewers deserved to win and did, beating Cubs 8–7.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.