MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Rays @ Royals, 06/24/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jun 24, 2025
Rays
5
Final
Game 777378
Royals
1
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Rays
75%
· tied 13%
·
Royals
12%
Rays earned it
Rays deserved to win and did, beating Royals 5–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.