MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Red Sox @ Angels, 06/24/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jun 24, 2025
Red Sox
2
Final
Game 777376
Angels
3
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Red Sox
25%
· tied 21%
·
Angels
54%
Angels earned it
Angels deserved to win and did, beating Red Sox 3–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.