MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Marlins @ Giants, 06/26/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jun 26, 2025
Marlins
12
Final
Game 777347
Giants
5
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Marlins
75%
· tied 10%
·
Giants
15%
Marlins earned it
Marlins deserved to win and did, beating Giants 12–5.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.