MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Tigers @ Guardians, 07/06/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 6, 2025
Tigers
7
Final
Game 777226
Guardians
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Tigers
74%
· tied 12%
·
Guardians
14%
Tigers earned it
Tigers deserved to win and did, beating Guardians 7–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.