MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Marlins @ Reds, 07/10/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 10, 2025
Marlins
0
Final
Game 777168
Reds
6
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Marlins
9%
· tied 13%
·
Reds
78%
Reds earned it
Reds deserved to win and did, beating Marlins 6–0.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.