MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Giants @ Blue Jays, 07/18/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 18, 2025
Giants
0
Final
Game 777108
Blue Jays
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Giants
31%
· tied 18%
·
Blue Jays
52%
Blue Jays earned it
Blue Jays deserved to win and did, beating Giants 4–0.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.