MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Blue Jays @ Tigers, 07/24/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 24, 2025
Blue Jays
11
Final
Game 777021
Tigers
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Blue Jays
99%
· tied 1%
·
Tigers
0%
Blue Jays earned it
Blue Jays deserved to win and did, beating Tigers 11–4.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.