MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Rays @ Yankees, 07/29/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jul 29, 2025
Rays
5
Final
Game 776949
Yankees
7
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Rays
19%
· tied 13%
·
Yankees
68%
Yankees earned it
Yankees deserved to win and did, beating Rays 7–5.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.