MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Braves @ Guardians, 08/16/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Aug 16, 2025
Braves
10
Final
Game 776720
Guardians
1
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Braves
85%
· tied 8%
·
Guardians
7%
Braves earned it
Braves deserved to win and did, beating Guardians 10–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.