MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Red Sox @ Yankees, 08/22/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Aug 22, 2025
Red Sox
1
Final
Game 776647
Yankees
0
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Red Sox
92%
· tied 6%
·
Yankees
2%
Red Sox earned it
Red Sox deserved to win and did, beating Yankees 1–0.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.