MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Giants @ Brewers, 08/23/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Aug 23, 2025
Giants
7
Final
Game 776621
Brewers
1
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Giants
63%
· tied 13%
·
Brewers
24%
Giants earned it
Giants deserved to win and did, beating Brewers 7–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.