MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Twins @ Blue Jays, 08/26/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Aug 26, 2025
Twins
7
Final
Game 776582
Blue Jays
5
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Twins
70%
· tied 11%
·
Blue Jays
19%
Twins earned it
Twins deserved to win and did, beating Blue Jays 7–5.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.