MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Braves @ Marlins, 08/26/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Aug 26, 2025
Braves
11
Final
Game 776581
Marlins
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Braves
85%
· tied 6%
·
Marlins
8%
Braves earned it
Braves deserved to win and did, beating Marlins 11–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.