MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Padres @ Twins, 08/30/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Aug 30, 2025
Padres
12
Final
Game 776530
Twins
3
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Padres
99%
· tied 1%
·
Twins
0%
Padres earned it
Padres deserved to win and did, beating Twins 12–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.