MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Brewers @ Pirates, 09/07/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Sep 7, 2025
Brewers
10
Final
Game 776419
Pirates
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Brewers
92%
· tied 5%
·
Pirates
3%
Brewers earned it
Brewers deserved to win and did, beating Pirates 10–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.