MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Padres @ Mets, 09/16/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Sep 16, 2025
Padres
3
Final
Game 776304
Mets
8
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Padres
26%
· tied 15%
·
Mets
58%
Mets earned it
Mets deserved to win and did, beating Padres 8–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.