MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Angels @ Brewers, 09/18/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Sep 18, 2025
Angels
2
Final
Game 776274
Brewers
5
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Angels
20%
· tied 15%
·
Brewers
65%
Brewers earned it
Brewers deserved to win and did, beating Angels 5–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.