MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Blue Jays @ Royals, 09/19/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Sep 19, 2025
Blue Jays
1
Final
Game 776260
Royals
20
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Blue Jays
0% ·
Royals
100%
Royals earned it
Royals deserved to win and did, beating Blue Jays 20–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.