MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Guardians @ Twins, 09/20/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Sep 20, 2025
Guardians
8
Final
Game 776243
Twins
0
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Guardians
84%
· tied 10%
·
Twins
6%
Guardians earned it
Guardians deserved to win and did, beating Twins 8–0.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.