MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Braves @ Dodgers, 03/31/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Mar 31, 2025
Braves
1
Final
Game 778500
Dodgers
6
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Braves
2%
· tied 3%
·
Dodgers
95%
Dodgers earned it
Dodgers deserved to win and did, beating Braves 6–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.