MLB Deserve-to-Win
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D-backs @ Nationals, 04/04/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 4, 2025
D-backs
6
Final
Game 778457
Nationals
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
D-backs
68%
· tied 13%
·
Nationals
19%
D-backs earned it
D-backs deserved to win and did, beating Nationals 6–4.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.