MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Astros @ Twins, 04/06/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 6, 2025
Astros
9
Final
Game 778419
Twins
7
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Astros
58%
· tied 13%
·
Twins
30%
Astros earned it
Astros deserved to win and did, beating Twins 9–7.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.