MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Twins @ Royals, 04/07/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 7, 2025
Twins
2
Final
Game 778412
Royals
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Twins
27%
· tied 13%
·
Royals
60%
Royals earned it
Royals deserved to win and did, beating Twins 4–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.