MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Reds @ Giants, 04/09/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 9, 2025
Reds
6
Final
Game 778376
Giants
8
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Reds
0% ·
Giants
100%
Giants earned it
Giants deserved to win and did, beating Reds 8–6.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.