MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Mets @ Twins, 04/15/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 15, 2025
Mets
3
Final
Game 778307
Twins
6
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Mets
21%
· tied 13%
·
Twins
66%
Twins earned it
Twins deserved to win and did, beating Mets 6–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.