MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Dodgers @ Rangers, 04/19/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 19, 2025
Dodgers
3
Final
Game 778251
Rangers
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Dodgers
22%
· tied 16%
·
Rangers
61%
Rangers earned it
Rangers deserved to win and did, beating Dodgers 4–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.