MLB Deserve-to-Win
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D-backs @ Cubs, 04/20/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 20, 2025
D-backs
3
Final
Game 778236
Cubs
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
D-backs
66%
· tied 16%
·
Cubs
18%
D-backs earned it
D-backs deserved to win and did, beating Cubs 3–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.