MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Cardinals @ Braves, 04/23/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 23, 2025
Cardinals
1
Final
Game 778214
Braves
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Cardinals
25%
· tied 14%
·
Braves
60%
Braves earned it
Braves deserved to win and did, beating Cardinals 4–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.