MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Rockies @ Royals, 04/24/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 24, 2025
Rockies
4
Final
Game 778190
Royals
7
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Rockies
23%
· tied 14%
·
Royals
63%
Royals earned it
Royals deserved to win and did, beating Rockies 7–4.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.