MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Phillies @ Cubs, 04/26/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 26, 2025
Phillies
10
Final
Game 778174
Cubs
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Phillies
76%
· tied 10%
·
Cubs
14%
Phillies earned it
Phillies deserved to win and did, beating Cubs 10–4.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.