MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Angels @ Twins, 04/26/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 26, 2025
Angels
1
Final
Game 778166
Twins
5
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Angels
2%
· tied 3%
·
Twins
95%
Twins earned it
Twins deserved to win and did, beating Angels 5–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.