MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Yankees @ Orioles, 04/29/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 29, 2025
Yankees
15
Final
Game 778133
Orioles
3
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Yankees
100% ·
Orioles
0%
Yankees earned it
Yankees deserved to win and did, beating Orioles 15–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.