MLB Deserve-to-Win
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D-backs @ Mets, 05/01/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 1, 2025
D-backs
4
Final
Game 778103
Mets
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
D-backs
85%
· tied 8%
·
Mets
7%
D-backs earned it
D-backs deserved to win and did, beating Mets 4–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.