MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Dodgers @ Braves, 05/04/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 4, 2025
Dodgers
3
Final
Game 778060
Braves
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Dodgers
22%
· tied 16%
·
Braves
62%
Braves earned it
Braves deserved to win and did, beating Dodgers 4–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.