MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Giants @ Cubs, 05/07/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 7, 2025
Giants
3
Final
Game 778020
Cubs
1
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Giants
68%
· tied 17%
·
Cubs
14%
Giants earned it
Giants deserved to win and did, beating Cubs 3–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.