MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Giants @ Twins, 05/11/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 11, 2025
Giants
6
Final
Game 777956
Twins
7
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Giants
30%
· tied 15%
·
Twins
55%
Twins earned it
Twins deserved to win and did, beating Giants 7–6.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.