MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
D-backs @ Giants, 05/12/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 12, 2025
D-backs
2
Final
Game 777939
Giants
1
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
D-backs
78%
· tied 11%
·
Giants
11%
D-backs earned it
D-backs deserved to win and did, beating Giants 2–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.