MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Cardinals @ Royals, 05/16/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 16, 2025
Cardinals
10
Final
Game 777901
Royals
3
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Cardinals
64%
· tied 15%
·
Royals
21%
Cardinals earned it
Cardinals deserved to win and did, beating Royals 10–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.