MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Rockies @ D-backs, 05/17/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 17, 2025
Rockies
14
Final
Game 777887
D-backs
12
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Rockies
73%
· tied 9%
·
D-backs
18%
Rockies earned it
Rockies deserved to win and did, beating D-backs 14–12.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.